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Wheat stripe rust (WSR), a fungal disease capable of inflicting severe crop loss, threatens most of global wheat production. Breeding for genetic resistance is the primary defense against stripe rust infection. Further development of rust-resistant wheat varieties depends on the ability to accurately and rapidly quantify rust resilience. In this study we demonstrate the ability of visible through shortwave infrared reflectance spectroscopy to effectively provide high-throughput classification of wheat stripe rust severity and identify important spectral regions for classification accuracy. Random forest models were developed using both leaf-level and canopy-level hyperspectral reflectance observations collected across a breeding population that was scored for WSR severity using 10 and 5 severity classes, respectively. The models were able to accurately diagnose scored disease severity class across these fine scoring scales between 45-52% of the time, which improved to 79-96% accuracy when allowing scores to be off-by-one. The canopy-level model demonstrated higher accuracy and distinct spectral characteristics relative to the leaf-level models, pointing to the use of this technology for field-scale monitoring. Leaf-level model performance was strong despite clear variation in scoring conducted between wheat growth stages. Two approaches to reduce predictor and model complexity, principal component dimensionality reduction and backward feature elimination, were applied here. Both approaches demonstrated that model classification skill could remain high while simplifying high-dimensional hyperspectral reflectance predictors, with parsimonious models having approximately 10 unique components or wavebands. Through the use of a high-resolution infection severity scoring methodology this study provides one of the most rigorous tests of the use of hyperspectral reflectance observations for WSR classification. We demonstrate that machine learning in combination with a few carefully-selected wavebands can be leveraged for precision remote monitoring and management of WSR to limit crop damage and to aid in the selection of resilient germplasm in breeding programs.more » « less
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Abstract Feedbacks between atmospheric processes like precipitation and land surface fluxes including evapotranspiration are difficult to observe, but critical for understanding the role of the land surface in the Earth System. To quantify global surface-atmosphere feedbacks we use results of a process network (PN) applied to 251 eddy covariance sites from the LaThuile database to train a neural network across the global terrestrial surface. There is a strong land–atmosphere coupling between latent (LE) and sensible heat flux (H) and precipitation (P) during summer months in temperate regions, and betweenHandPduring winter, whereas tropical rainforests show little coupling seasonality. Savanna, shrubland, and other semi-arid ecosystems exhibit strong responses in their coupling behavior based on water availability. Feedback couplings from surface fluxes toPpeaks at aridity (P/potential evapotranspiration ETp) values near unity, whereas coupling with respect to clouds, inferred from reduced global radiation, increases asP/ETpapproaches zero. Spatial patterns in feedback coupling strength are related to climatic zone and biome type. Information flow statistics highlight hotspots of (1) persistent land–atmosphere coupling in sub-Saharan Africa, (2) boreal summer coupling in the central and southwestern US, Brazil, and the Congo basin and (3) in the southern Andes, South Africa and Australia during austral summer. Our data-driven approach to quantifying land atmosphere coupling strength that leverages the global FLUXNET database and information flow statistics provides a basis for verification of feedback interactions in general circulation models and for predicting locations where land cover change will feedback to climate or weather.more » « less
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